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NRF: Import cargo volumes face headwinds from tariffs and increasing fuel prices Market research 

NRF: Import cargo volumes face headwinds from tariffs and increasing fuel prices

Import volume at major U.S. container ports is not being significantly affected by the conflict in Iran but ocean carriers are seeing a related increase in fuel costs that could eventually affect retailers and their customers, according to the Global Port Tracker report released by the National Retail Federation and Hackett Associates. “Just because retailers don’t import a lot of merchandise... Read More
NRF: Easter spending expected to reach a record $24.9 billion Market research News 

NRF: Easter spending expected to reach a record $24.9 billion

Consumer spending on Easter is expected to reach a record total of $24.9 billion this year, according to the annual survey released today by the National Retail Federation and Prosper Insights & Analytics. The amount surpasses the previous record of $24 billion set in 2023. On a per-person basis, shoppers are budgeting a record high of $195.59, up from the... Read More
NRF forecasts 4.4% annual retail sales growth with new economic model Market research News 

NRF forecasts 4.4% annual retail sales growth with new economic model

The National Retail Federation (NRF) forecast that retail sales in 2026 will grow by 4.4% over 2025 to $5.6 trillion, based on a newly enhanced forecasting approach developed in partnership with Oxford Economics, one of the world’s leading independent economic advisory firms. The announcement was made during NRF’s sixth annual State of Retail & the Consumer virtual event, which examines... Read More
NRF: Import cargo volume expected to be down in first half of 2026 Market research News 

NRF: Import cargo volume expected to be down in first half of 2026

Imports at major U.S. container ports are expected to remain below last year’s levels for the first half of 2026 amid ongoing tariff uncertainty, but it is too soon to gauge the impact of the conflict in Iran, according to the Global Port Tracker report released today by the National Retail Federation and Hackett Associates. “The Supreme Court has struck down... Read More
NRF: Import cargo volume expected to see year-over-year drop in first half of 2026 Market research News 

NRF: Import cargo volume expected to see year-over-year drop in first half of 2026

Import volume at the nation’s major container ports is expected to see a significant year-over-year decline during the first half of 2026 as the impact of tariffs continues, according to the Global Port Tracker report released today by the National Retail Federation and Hackett Associates. “With tariffs still a matter of debate in the courts and in Congress, their effect... Read More
NRF: Valentine’s Day spending expected to reach new records  Market research 

NRF: Valentine’s Day spending expected to reach new records 

Consumer spending on Valentine’s Day is expected to reach a record $29.1 billion, according to the annual survey released by the National Retail Federation (NRF) and Prosper Insights & Analytics. The amount surpasses the previous record of $27.5 billion in 2025. Shoppers are budgeting a record $199.78 on average for gifts, an increase from $188.81 last year and surpassing the... Read More
NRF: Import cargo volume expected to remain down year-over-year until spring Market research News 

NRF: Import cargo volume expected to remain down year-over-year until spring

Import volume at the nation’s major container ports is forecast to see its first month-over-month gain in six months during January but is expected to remain down year over year until spring, according to the Global Port Tracker report released today by the National Retail Federation and Hackett Associates. “There should be a brief bump in imports this month ahead... Read More
NRF: Thanksgiving holiday weekend draws a record 203 million shoppers Market research 

NRF: Thanksgiving holiday weekend draws a record 203 million shoppers

A record 202.9 million consumers shopped during the five-day holiday weekend from Thanksgiving Day through Cyber Monday, according to the annual consumer survey released by the National Retail Federation and Prosper Insights & Analytics. The figure is up from 197 million shoppers last year and surpasses the previous record of 200.4 million set in 2023. The total also exceeds NRF’s... Read More
NRF: Thanksgiving weekend expected to draw largest number of shoppers on record Market research News 

NRF: Thanksgiving weekend expected to draw largest number of shoppers on record

A record 186.9 million people are planning to shop from Thanksgiving Day through Cyber Monday this year, according to the consumer survey released by the National Retail Federation and Prosper Insights & Analytics. The figure is up more than 3 million total shoppers from the previous record of 183.4 million last year. “The holidays are an important part of many... Read More
NRF: With shelves stocked, imports should see slowdown in November and December Market research 

NRF: With shelves stocked, imports should see slowdown in November and December

With tariff uncertainty continuing but most holiday merchandise already in stores or warehouses, import cargo volume at the nation’s major container ports should see its usual end-of-year slowdown in November and December, according to the Global Port Tracker report released by the National Retail Federation (NRF) and Hackett Associates. “We’ve spent most of the year worried about the impact of... Read More
NRF: Holiday sales to surpass $1 trillion for the first time in 2025 Market research News 

NRF: Holiday sales to surpass $1 trillion for the first time in 2025

The National Retail Federation (NRF) released its annual holiday forecast, predicting retail sales in November and December will grow between 3.7% and 4.2% over 2024. That translates to total spending between $1.01 trillion and $1.02 trillion. By comparison, last year’s holiday sales rose 4.3% over 2023 to reach $976.1 billion. “American consumers may be cautious in sentiment, yet remain fundamentally... Read More
NRF: Holiday shoppers to spend second-highest amount on record Market research News 

NRF: Holiday shoppers to spend second-highest amount on record

Consumers plan to spend $890.49 per person on average this year on holiday gifts, food, decorations and other seasonal items, according to the National Retail Federation’s (NRF) annual consumer survey conducted by Prosper Insights & Analytics. The amount is the second-highest in the survey’s 23-year history and falls only 1.3% less than last year’s record of $901.99. “Time and again,... Read More
NRF: Consumers expected to return nearly $850 billion in merchandise in 2025 Market research News 

NRF: Consumers expected to return nearly $850 billion in merchandise in 2025

Retailers estimate that 15.8% of their annual sales will be returned this year, totaling $849.9 billion, according to the 2025 Retail Returns Landscape report released by the National Retail Federation (NRF) and Happy Returns, a UPS company. The returns rate is in line with 16.9% last year, when returns totaled $890 billion. “Returns are no longer the end point of... Read More
CNBC/NRF Retail Monitor data shows spending slowed in September but year-over-year growth remains ‘robust’ Market research 

CNBC/NRF Retail Monitor data shows spending slowed in September but year-over-year growth remains ‘robust’

Retail sales slowed on a monthly basis in September after a busy summer but year-over-year increases remain strong as retailers prepare for the holiday season, according to the CNBC/NRF Retail Monitor, powered by Affinity Solutions, released today by the National Retail Federation. “Retail sales dipped in September as consumers hit the pause button after two solid months of back-to-school spending,”... Read More
NRF: Monthly imports expected to drop below 2 million TEU as tariffs continue to rise   Market research News 

NRF: Monthly imports expected to drop below 2 million TEU as tariffs continue to rise  

With most holiday merchandise already on hand and tariffs continuing to rise, monthly import cargo volume at the nation’s major container ports is expected to fall below the 2 million TEU mark for the remainder of the year, according to the Global Port Tracker report released today by the National Retail Federation and Hackett Associates. “This year’s peak season has... Read More